State-owned
enterprises
still dominate its industrial and financial sectors, and
foreign trade centres on commodities.
The declared
goal of its current economic policy is to achieve
sustainable growth and overcome underemployment
and poverty as soon as possible. Fast growing external
public debt limits the availability of public funds and loans to support economic
growth, so
attraction of private and foreign investment (FDI) has become a vital priority. Five
years ago,
the Government of Uzbekistan (GOU) launched a program of radical market reforms, with a
focus on improving the business environment. Notable progress has been made so far in
addressing a rage of systemic business regulation problems and overcoming the dominance
of state monopolies, but more is yet to be done to completely unlock all benefits of FDI
for
the economy.
a dynamic
and entrepreneurial population, the largest in Central Asia; relatively good
infrastructure; and
a large potential consumer market. In the past, most FDI was directed into the oil, gas,
and
mining sectors. In recent years, however, there has been a trend towards increasing FDI
in
manufacturing, production and distribution of electricity, tourism, and banking. Such
diversification was facilitated by positive changes in state regulation and the
beginning of a
privatization program. Further advancing privatization, as well as implementation of a
longexpected capital market development policy, may create unique investment
opportunities.
Over the past five years, the GOU has made efforts to improve the investment
attractiveness
of the country.
The GOU has modernized its legislation through the
adoption of the Law
on
Investments and Investment Activities and other acts that streamlined interactions of
investors
with the state, reduced the tax load, liberalized access to certain commodities, and
started the
privatization of major state-owned enterprises. As a result, the inflow of FDI has grown
from
about $2 billion in 2017 to over $8 billion in 2021.
The government’s efforts to attract
funding
for various development and social support programs contributed to sustained
economic
growth despite severe quarantine restrictions in 2020. With the removal of major
pandemic
restrictions in 2021, GDP grew 7.4 percent.
Notable progress has been made in
development
of renewable energy capacity. Uzbekistan already attracted FDI to develop nearly 4,000
MW
of solar and wind capacity and plans to build another 4,000 MW in generation capacity by
2026, which will increase the share of renewables to 25 percent and displace 3 billion
cubic
meters of natural gas usage annually.
The GOU’s current environmental policy goal is to
achieve a 35 percent reduction of greenhouse gas emissions per unit of GDP from 2010
levels
by 2030. At the same time, the GOU still attempts to channel foreign investments into
predetermined import-substituting or export-oriented projects. In some cases,
transparency is
sacrificed for the urgency of investment. Pandemic-related challenges and the subsequent
disruption of global of supply chains have slowed the progress of liberalization reforms
because the GOU expanded the use of direct administrative control methods. Another
restraining factor is the lack of experience among middle and lower-level government
officials
in working transparently and properly enforcing legislation that protects the rights of
entrepreneurs.